Among the 50 largest C[ommuting] Z[one]s, Salt Lake City, UT, has the most positive forecasted causal effect for children in below-median income families. We predict that every additional year spent growing up in Salt Lake City will increase a child’s income by 0.17 percentiles (RMSE = 0.07) relative to an average CZ. Rescaling the estimates. . . .into dollar impacts, this estimate implies that growing up in Salt Lake City from birth (assuming 20 years of exposure) would increase children’s incomes at age 26 by 10.4% relative to growing up in the average CZ.

. . . .The predicted impact of moving from the worst CZ (Los Angeles) to the best CZ (Salt Lake City) is 13.7% for children in above-median income families, roughly half the corresponding range for children in below-median income families.